And One Moment More…

In our pool all of the possible remaining outcomes can be viewed in the Final Four report .  Of the 8 possible outcomes remaining, KirkWho comes in first in 3, DD1 and Petey2 come in first in two scenarios each, and hailphire wins it all only if Kansas beats Michigan in the final.  KirkWho is in the nice position of finishing in the money in 7 of 8 outcomes remaining.

In a shocking display of poor outcome picking, Gerald 1 has come out of anonymity (bad, but not bad enough to be mentioned before) to grab hold of the Brandy Award.  Gerald 1’s score of 60 is not historically horrible, but is considerably worse than last year’s winner (76).

With Michigan and Loyola of Chicago moving on to the Final Four we are down to 36 entries that can finish in the money, only nine of which have a chance of finishing in first place.  At this point, KirkWho is looking pretty strong with a 69% chance of finishing in the money and a 28% chance of a first place finish.  Should Villanova and Duke win tomorrow, those odds go up even more.

Looking at the current points, Worst Nightmare leads the way with a score of 109.  Should Texas Tech slide by Villanova on Sunday, the Nightmare could become very real.  Speaking of Worst Nightmare, much will depend on this lovable soul.

Of course if he wasn’t already America’s most despised college basketball player, followed closely by Grayson Allen, he could become even more disliked if he ends up beating America’s favorite 98 year old sweetheart, Sister Jean.  That just ain’t right.

Some clarity is coming to the Brandy Award winner too.  If Villanova wins, New Name is almost a sure lock.  However, if Villanova loses, Big East Final will complete a clean sweep of no Final Four and only one Elite Eight picks.  That’s harder to do than you might realize.

Looking at the brackets, the East ended up relatively true to form (#1 vs. #3), the South is upset city (#9 vs. #11), the West is moderately upset (#3 vs. #9), while only the Midwest played true to form (#1 vs. #2).

What does that mean to YOU?  If you are among the 45 remaining entries with a chance, you’ve got more to root for than the rest of us.  The current leader is “Worst Nightmare” with 99 points, but picking UVA to win it all.  “Worst Nightmare” does finish in first place in 24 of the remaining 128 outcomes (check out the possibilities report).  Leading the odds for a first place finish is KirkWho who is first in possible score ranking, and 3rd in the current point ranking.

Things are still roiled at the bottom of the sediment heap, with the lowest current point total (“Big East Final”) currently with only 55 points, but with the potential for 105 points.  There are a number of entries who have already reached their potential, with the lowest scoring of those being “New name” at 66 points.

We’ve had a big shakeup at the bottom of the pool (turbidity is high – google THAT you non-CEs) with JM now having the worst performing entry (49 points to date), but with both Kansas (winning it all) and Villanova (final four) still alive.  Keep in mind that Beau Blakey is the lowest in possible score 71 points.  So we know that the Brandy award will go to an entry scoring between 49 and 71 points (inclusive).  Spellbinding.

Speaking of spellbinding the tournament this year continues to produce thrilling games with unexpected outcomes.  Today’s action had the #11 Ramblers beating the #7 Runnin’ Rebels (Ramblers Wreck Running Rebels??), #9 KState defeating #5 Kentucky and #9 FSU beating the favorite #4 Zags.  In the non-upset bracket Michigan defeated TAMU.

There are a relatively few number of entries with the dreaded * by them – so you should all be well motivated to get your outstanding fees addressed before tomorrow…

“Beau Blakey”, with a current score of 51 and a possible score of 76, is the current favorite to bring home the Brandy award this year.  There ARE a number of entries with current scores in that range, though, so the action in the floculation basin should remain interesting until everything settles out.  (non-civil engineers are encouraged to google that)…

So three of your Final Four selections are gone?  Not a problem!  You’re in good company.  There isn’t a single entry among the 106 participants that hasn’t lost at least one Final Four choice and most have lost two.  Yet they’re all still alive…..well, except for those entries that are accompanied by those pesky asterisks.  Sadly, if there is a little star in front of your entry name, your pick is no longer among those in the running…..for anything.  Don’t feel too bad, as reportedly every one of the 17.3 million brackets submitted in ESPN’s perfection contest is out of the running after only two rounds.

If you are among the lucky 79 still in the running, the Status Reports now list your highest possible finish.  And it may be higher than you think – and we’re talking about you, Conjilmom.  Though three of your Final Four choices have been bounced and five of your Elite Eight choices are gone, you still have a chance of finishing as high as second.  Let that sink in.

As we enter the Sweet Sixteen, Soupy still leads the way with a five point lead as sorted by Current Points.  But KirkWho has the lead in Possible Points, having lost only two Elite Eight teams among the many upsets.

At the other end of things, Beau Blakely holds the current lead in the race for the Brandy Award, but special recognition goes to Big East Final with only four correct picks among the sixteen second round games.  Impressive!

If you had not submitted your fees by the end of Sunday’s games you should have received our friendly reminder to pay.  To those who promptly paid up subsequently, thank you very much.  Hopefully we’ll have all debts settled before the Sweet Sixteen begins this Thursday.