And then there were 62

In what might be the worst title suggestion for a potentially HORRIBLE Agatha Christie rewrite there are now only 62 entries left in our pool without the dreaded “mark of the asterisk”.  Leading the charge are Soupy and DERPS tied with 83 points.  At the bottom end of those with still a shot (current score) is DD3.  The entry remaining with the highest possible score is KirkWho who has Villanova defeating Michigan in the finals (there are 3 entries with this championship matchup).  Playing a familiar tune, assuming that all remaining game outcomes are equally probable Soupy has the highest chance of coming in first (17% chance of landing in the money).  Because all outcomes AREN’T equally probable we put our best (only) guy on the case and determined that if Loyola Illinois wins out things are pretty tough to figure out.  Leave it to be said that no-one in our pool makes any further points on the backs of the fightin’ Ramblers as only 8 entries had them winning 3 games, none at 4.

We’ve had a big shakeup at the bottom of the pool (turbidity is high – google THAT you non-CEs) with JM now having the worst performing entry (49 points to date), but with both Kansas (winning it all) and Villanova (final four) still alive.  Keep in mind that Beau Blakey is the lowest in possible score 71 points.  So we know that the Brandy award will go to an entry scoring between 49 and 71 points (inclusive).  Spellbinding.

Speaking of spellbinding the tournament this year continues to produce thrilling games with unexpected outcomes.  Today’s action had the #11 Ramblers beating the #7 Runnin’ Rebels (Ramblers Wreck Running Rebels??), #9 KState defeating #5 Kentucky and #9 FSU beating the favorite #4 Zags.  In the non-upset bracket Michigan defeated TAMU.

Posted in 2018, Director's Notes.