And then there were 62

In what might be the worst title suggestion for a potentially HORRIBLE Agatha Christie rewrite there are now only 62 entries left in our pool without the dreaded “mark of the asterisk”.  Leading the charge are Soupy and DERPS tied with 83 points.  At the bottom end of those with still a shot (current score) is DD3.  The entry remaining with the highest possible score is KirkWho who has Villanova defeating Michigan in the finals (there are 3 entries with this championship matchup).  Playing a familiar tune, assuming that all remaining game outcomes are equally probable Soupy has the highest chance of coming in first (17% chance of landing in the money).  Because all outcomes AREN’T equally probable we put our best (only) guy on the case and determined that if Loyola Illinois wins out things are pretty tough to figure out.  Leave it to be said that no-one in our pool makes any further points on the backs of the fightin’ Ramblers as only 8 entries had them winning 3 games, none at 4.

We’ve had a big shakeup at the bottom of the pool (turbidity is high – google THAT you non-CEs) with JM now having the worst performing entry (49 points to date), but with both Kansas (winning it all) and Villanova (final four) still alive.  Keep in mind that Beau Blakey is the lowest in possible score 71 points.  So we know that the Brandy award will go to an entry scoring between 49 and 71 points (inclusive).  Spellbinding.

Speaking of spellbinding the tournament this year continues to produce thrilling games with unexpected outcomes.  Today’s action had the #11 Ramblers beating the #7 Runnin’ Rebels (Ramblers Wreck Running Rebels??), #9 KState defeating #5 Kentucky and #9 FSU beating the favorite #4 Zags.  In the non-upset bracket Michigan defeated TAMU.

With the sweet sixteen new reports will be available

We are hoping to have them up and running at the “quick reports” link above (NOW POSTED. -Admin), but should the torrential rain preclude the necessary work from occurring, please hop on over to hoopness.com to access all the latest and greatest.  The “Possibilities” report has Soupy in a good position finishing in first place in 22% of the remaining possible outcomes, followed by DERPS and “Rather be knitting”.  2 of those entries have a familiar ring to them…

There are a relatively few number of entries with the dreaded * by them – so you should all be well motivated to get your outstanding fees addressed before tomorrow…

“Beau Blakey”, with a current score of 51 and a possible score of 76, is the current favorite to bring home the Brandy award this year.  There ARE a number of entries with current scores in that range, though, so the action in the floculation basin should remain interesting until everything settles out.  (non-civil engineers are encouraged to google that)…

 

Bracket Busted? So Is Everyone’s!

Two number one seeds are gone, two number eleven seeds are in, and the first four seeds in the South bracket are gone.  Just another weekend of March Madness living up to its name.

So three of your Final Four selections are gone?  Not a problem!  You’re in good company.  There isn’t a single entry among the 106 participants that hasn’t lost at least one Final Four choice and most have lost two.  Yet they’re all still alive…..well, except for those entries that are accompanied by those pesky asterisks.  Sadly, if there is a little star in front of your entry name, your pick is no longer among those in the running…..for anything.  Don’t feel too bad, as reportedly every one of the 17.3 million brackets submitted in ESPN’s perfection contest is out of the running after only two rounds.

If you are among the lucky 79 still in the running, the Status Reports now list your highest possible finish.  And it may be higher than you think – and we’re talking about you, Conjilmom.  Though three of your Final Four choices have been bounced and five of your Elite Eight choices are gone, you still have a chance of finishing as high as second.  Let that sink in.

As we enter the Sweet Sixteen, Soupy still leads the way with a five point lead as sorted by Current Points.  But KirkWho has the lead in Possible Points, having lost only two Elite Eight teams among the many upsets.

At the other end of things, Beau Blakely holds the current lead in the race for the Brandy Award, but special recognition goes to Big East Final with only four correct picks among the sixteen second round games.  Impressive!

If you had not submitted your fees by the end of Sunday’s games you should have received our friendly reminder to pay.  To those who promptly paid up subsequently, thank you very much.  Hopefully we’ll have all debts settled before the Sweet Sixteen begins this Thursday.

Ramblers lead underdogs into Sweet 16 in first half of round 2

After the excitement of the Golden Retrievers upsetting Virginia last night today’s beginning of round 2 started in a fairly hum-drum fashion with higher seeds winning all games in relatively convincing fashion.  #3 Tennessee was not so lucky, running into the Ramblers of Loyola-Chicago.  In a game that had L-C seeming in control until the final few minutes the Volunteers mounted a furious comeback only to be foiled by a last seconds shot that bounced high off the rim only to drop in for the Ramblers.  Hopefully the remaining 3 games of the day maintain that excitement.

In the pool the current status is lead by two entries that picked only 2 of the 4 games completed to this point correctly.  The leader in the possible points status continues to be the formidable “quackquack2018” with 3/4 games completed in round two so far picked correctly, and with all 8 final 8 teams still alive.  If all falls qq’s way the ducky entry will finish with a score of 219, just a point higher than Gary Byers’ 2007 entry.  Which is another way of saying that the the record will likely hold for another year.

It’s early in the race for the Brandy award, but with the Eyebrian2 already at 40 points we know that a record WON’T be set.

 

Golden Retrievers! Really?

With the completion of the UVA vs UMBC game Warren Buffett breathes easy, earlier than any prior year.  With a stunning 16 over 1 upset the Golden Retrievers (?!?) of the University of Maryland, Baltimore County has joined the following historical sports accomplishments of this “year”:

  • The Cleveland Browns won a football game
  • The Eagles won a Super Bowl
  • North and South Korea together fielded an Olympic women’s hockey team
  • The US won an Olympic gold in curling
  • The Russians fielded a clean Olympic team

Yep – a 16 seed beating a 1 seed is so rare that it has actually NEVER happened before.  And with it the team with the 2nd most entries picking it to win it all in our pool has taken the never before seen 1st seed exits in the first round, likely deep sixing at least 14 entries.

With today’s action, and the first round games, complete, the top entry ranked by current points is “Soupy”, correctly picking 25 of the 32 outcomes in the round.  But Soupy is nowhere to be seen in the upper echelon of the possible score rankings having picked UVA to make it to the Final Four.  At the top of the Possible Score rankings is “quackquack2018” with an umblemished slate of Final 8 teams – a current status shared with #2 in the possible score rankings “Jumbo”.

At the other end of things JM and Eyebrian2 (both now 16/32) have out plummeted Gerald 2 who is now batting 1 game over .500.

Three Quarters of the Way Through Round One

At the three-quarter mark for the first round we are beginning to see some separation – and we’re not talking about the seams in Wolfpack coach Eric Musselman’s clothing – though we could be talking about the microphones that will probably be separated a little farther from the coach whose cursing reportedly caused longshoremen, and possibly the FCC, to be offended.

At the top of the standings in the Current Points category, two are tied for the lead as both Soupy and Sparty Is Angry have managed to pick all but three games correctly. However, when sorted by possible points, Sparty is both angry and sad as his pick for Arizona making in the Final Four drops the Possible Score ranking down to 75th. That leaves Soupy all alone in front with a slim one “Possible Points” lead over several picks that are stacked right up behind in the standings.

Meanwhile, it’s time to break out our statistical study based on Hoops Madness participants, the results of which were probably starkly predictable.

Vitale Raftery Bilas Research Institute of Madness Study

The 1980’s Astros are calling and they want their ugly back

So the UofA Wildcats have a whole lot of ugly going on, from an ugly blowout 1st round loss to the 14 seed Buffalo Bulls to an FBI investigation of their basketball program.  But it’s hard to argue that the ugliest part of their season isn’t their uniforms.  Yikes.  Hearkening back to the origins of the Brandy award (the eponymous entry was based on the uniform colors) we feel comfortable in assuming that THAT Brandy would have picked the Wildcats to bow out early.  Which they did.

In pool news the Buffalo victory did knock all entries out of the land of perfection.  As of right now there are 16 entries with 12 of 14 outcomes picked correctly.  Perennial top-dwellers DWG2 and Eyebrian3 are tied with possible scores of 243.  Speaking of Brandy, Gerald 2 is solidly in last place at the moment, though with a record that would be good if it were a batting average (.500).

Enjoy the games.  And be happy that you will no longer be visually assaulted  by basketball fashion gone horribly awry.  Or at least the UofA version of said malady.

After the First Half of the First Half…

After the first half of the first day we have one mild upset, the 11 seed Loyola of Chicago taking down sixth seeded Miami, while also creating a new star, Sister Jean, the hippest 98 year old in the tournament. At this point we still have 11 entries with a perfect record, a full 27% of them entries belonging to your Hoops Madness Administrators. Hmmm.

We’ll have the shortcuts to the reports up soon, but in the meantime you can browse all of the reports generated by our magical Hoopness engine by clicking on the “Review / Print Entry” link under Quick Reports, which will provide you with a list of links. Choose “View Reports” to see any number of site generated reports. You can also click on “Find an Entry” to see how your entry, or that of any other person for that matter, is doing. The site automatically ID’s correct (blue) choices and incorrect (red) choices.  How cool is that?

Stay tuned for more updates later today/tonight!

106 Total Entries – Time To Pay Up!

It’s a good showing for the 2018 Hoops Madness Tournament, 106 total entries.  Indeed the economy has improved.  We’re trying to stay on top of the financial end of things so we remind you of our preferred method to settle your debts.  And sorry, but your response of “just take it out of my winnings” is not all that original.

You can go directly to our PayPal Collection point by clicking here.  It will appear that you are “purchasing” custom hoop rings, which is our slick method of sliding around the nasty paypal people who have tried to disrupt our tournament in the past.

If you have not paid up by the end of this Sunday’s games we will put you on the tardy list, issue you a strongly worded letter, and let Vlad Putin deal with you.  Don’t be late!

46 Entries After Half of the “First Round” Games – News Out of Virginia

They don’t call them “play-in” games anymore, but that’s exactly what they are.  The loss by UCLA to St Bonaventure may have stunned some…..well, one maybe.  Will it alter your choice of a champion?  Probably not, but the more important news that might have you rethinking things is the University of Virginia’s loss of De’Andre Hunter, the highly regarded ACC Sixth Man of the Year.  Reports from talking heads (most of which are failed coaches turned “experts”) have Virginia falling from the ranks of most favored to no-longer-most-favored.

If you are suffering from “early picker’s remorse” and feel the need to make a change, we have just the solution for you – go back in and change your entry!  You can do this by clicking on “Create, Review, or Print Entry” on the banner above.  You’ll find the main menu there with several links.  Click on the “Update an Entry” link and you’ll be prompted to enter your entry name and password.  Remember to use your personal password, and not the DickieV password that you used to gain entry into the pick ’em site.  If you need a reminder as to what your entry name is, click on the Main Menu link, then “Find an Entry” and you’ll find a list of all entries.

Good luck and don’t forget to submit your payment via our convenient PayPal link.  If you haven’t done so already, you can pay here.