The Night Before Madness – Solving Payment Problems

With less than twelve hours before the first tip-off, it’s encouraging to see the return of old friends and their tournament entries.  62 submissions as of this writing, and the promise of 62 so more just minutes before the deadline.

So it seems we gave players a bad payment link in the original email that we sent out.  Huge apologies for that.  The correct link is below.  You should see a form that asks for your quantity of entries, your name, email, and spaces for the entry names for which you are paying.  Click at the bottom on the “Next” button, and you’ll be taken to a payment choice, either PayPal or good ol’ paper check.

The proper link to use for payments : https://fs12.formsite.com/straymutt/form9/index.html?1616127471585

Big time apologies for the confusion.  Any questions, hit us up on the hoopsmaster email address: hoopsmaster@eqemarchmadness.com

And We’re Under Way!

We are under way with a total of 116 entries in the tournament this year. That’s our best showing in many years, and the winner (obviously we all think it will be our own entry that will win it all) stands to come away with a substantial profit – maybe not enough to get your kid into Stanford, but plenty enough to pay that kid’s phone bill for a month or so.

We want to advise you that some reports are now available for you to look over and browse at this point. The “Pool Choice” and “Pool Distribution” reports display all of the picks for each entry and summarize the picks by school. Just click on the Quick Reports link above and peruse to your heart’s content. You might note that 47 entries have Duke winning it all and then there is a substantial drop off to the second favorite pick, Gonzaga, with a mere 16 picks as the champion. Interestingly, 89 of the entries, 77%, have one of the four Number One seeds taking the title. Our league statistician Numlock MacGeek has informed us that four number one seeds have all graduated to the finals only once in the entire history of the tournament and furthermore, in the tournament’s 56 year existence only 21 number one seeds have come away with the title.  Good luck!

Games have been close and exciting up to this point, but no huge upsets. Still, with six games complete only 10 entries are perfect, so don’t fret if you’ve got a few clunkers at this point…..well, maybe except for Tripstersmatilda, who has managed only one correct pick so far.

38 Entries As of Tuesday Evening

As of 8:30 PM PDT on March 19, 2019, we’ve tallied a total of 38 entries. While this is typical of entry patterns of years past, recent events have raised concerns here at pool headquarters that a public service announcement is in order:

THERE IS NO “SIDE DOOR” to EQE Hoops madness glory. If “Side Door Singer” has been telling you otherwise, you may wish to reconsider your choice of consultants. Or perhaps you are mistaking this pool for an education at USC. To which we reply: we’re better than that.

We would ALSO counsel all prospective entrants to keep your eye on the clock – the pool clangs shut right before tip-off of the first game. According to THIS website, that first tip is scheduled for 12:00 PM EDT, March 21, 2019. If you are in other time zones, continents, hemispheres, or states of mind we leave it to you to figure it out.

Best of luck, enter often, and remember that everybody’s fake SAT scores are ignored equally and without prejudice here!

Final Four!

At the completion of today’s games we’re down to the final four teams in the tourney, and 21 viable entries in the pool.  Both games today were exciting, with the Kansas victory over Duke being decided late in OT.  The excitement in the first game was much more short lived (mid first half?).

In our pool all of the possible remaining outcomes can be viewed in the Final Four report .  Of the 8 possible outcomes remaining, KirkWho comes in first in 3, DD1 and Petey2 come in first in two scenarios each, and hailphire wins it all only if Kansas beats Michigan in the final.  KirkWho is in the nice position of finishing in the money in 7 of 8 outcomes remaining.

In a shocking display of poor outcome picking, Gerald 1 has come out of anonymity (bad, but not bad enough to be mentioned before) to grab hold of the Brandy Award.  Gerald 1’s score of 60 is not historically horrible, but is considerably worse than last year’s winner (76).

Down To The Studly Six

Hey, if we can have the Elite Eight and Final Four, we might as well slap an appropriate name of the tweeners, and thus we christen those teams remaining as of Saturday night the Studly Six.

With Michigan and Loyola of Chicago moving on to the Final Four we are down to 36 entries that can finish in the money, only nine of which have a chance of finishing in first place.  At this point, KirkWho is looking pretty strong with a 69% chance of finishing in the money and a 28% chance of a first place finish.  Should Villanova and Duke win tomorrow, those odds go up even more.

Looking at the current points, Worst Nightmare leads the way with a score of 109.  Should Texas Tech slide by Villanova on Sunday, the Nightmare could become very real.  Speaking of Worst Nightmare, much will depend on this lovable soul.

Of course if he wasn’t already America’s most despised college basketball player, followed closely by Grayson Allen, he could become even more disliked if he ends up beating America’s favorite 98 year old sweetheart, Sister Jean.  That just ain’t right.

Some clarity is coming to the Brandy Award winner too.  If Villanova wins, New Name is almost a sure lock.  However, if Villanova loses, Big East Final will complete a clean sweep of no Final Four and only one Elite Eight picks.  That’s harder to do than you might realize.

Elite 8 is set

Friday’s action followed the seeder’s expectations much more closely than Thursday’s games:  3/4 games went to the top seed, with the only seeding “upset” being (close your eyes, Ron) the marginally lower seeded #3 Texas Tech Red Raiders defeating the #2 seed Purdue Boilermakers.

Looking at the brackets, the East ended up relatively true to form (#1 vs. #3), the South is upset city (#9 vs. #11), the West is moderately upset (#3 vs. #9), while only the Midwest played true to form (#1 vs. #2).

What does that mean to YOU?  If you are among the 45 remaining entries with a chance, you’ve got more to root for than the rest of us.  The current leader is “Worst Nightmare” with 99 points, but picking UVA to win it all.  “Worst Nightmare” does finish in first place in 24 of the remaining 128 outcomes (check out the possibilities report).  Leading the odds for a first place finish is KirkWho who is first in possible score ranking, and 3rd in the current point ranking.

Things are still roiled at the bottom of the sediment heap, with the lowest current point total (“Big East Final”) currently with only 55 points, but with the potential for 105 points.  There are a number of entries who have already reached their potential, with the lowest scoring of those being “New name” at 66 points.

 

And then there were 62

In what might be the worst title suggestion for a potentially HORRIBLE Agatha Christie rewrite there are now only 62 entries left in our pool without the dreaded “mark of the asterisk”.  Leading the charge are Soupy and DERPS tied with 83 points.  At the bottom end of those with still a shot (current score) is DD3.  The entry remaining with the highest possible score is KirkWho who has Villanova defeating Michigan in the finals (there are 3 entries with this championship matchup).  Playing a familiar tune, assuming that all remaining game outcomes are equally probable Soupy has the highest chance of coming in first (17% chance of landing in the money).  Because all outcomes AREN’T equally probable we put our best (only) guy on the case and determined that if Loyola Illinois wins out things are pretty tough to figure out.  Leave it to be said that no-one in our pool makes any further points on the backs of the fightin’ Ramblers as only 8 entries had them winning 3 games, none at 4.

We’ve had a big shakeup at the bottom of the pool (turbidity is high – google THAT you non-CEs) with JM now having the worst performing entry (49 points to date), but with both Kansas (winning it all) and Villanova (final four) still alive.  Keep in mind that Beau Blakey is the lowest in possible score 71 points.  So we know that the Brandy award will go to an entry scoring between 49 and 71 points (inclusive).  Spellbinding.

Speaking of spellbinding the tournament this year continues to produce thrilling games with unexpected outcomes.  Today’s action had the #11 Ramblers beating the #7 Runnin’ Rebels (Ramblers Wreck Running Rebels??), #9 KState defeating #5 Kentucky and #9 FSU beating the favorite #4 Zags.  In the non-upset bracket Michigan defeated TAMU.

With the sweet sixteen new reports will be available

We are hoping to have them up and running at the “quick reports” link above (NOW POSTED. -Admin), but should the torrential rain preclude the necessary work from occurring, please hop on over to hoopness.com to access all the latest and greatest.  The “Possibilities” report has Soupy in a good position finishing in first place in 22% of the remaining possible outcomes, followed by DERPS and “Rather be knitting”.  2 of those entries have a familiar ring to them…

There are a relatively few number of entries with the dreaded * by them – so you should all be well motivated to get your outstanding fees addressed before tomorrow…

“Beau Blakey”, with a current score of 51 and a possible score of 76, is the current favorite to bring home the Brandy award this year.  There ARE a number of entries with current scores in that range, though, so the action in the floculation basin should remain interesting until everything settles out.  (non-civil engineers are encouraged to google that)…

 

Bracket Busted? So Is Everyone’s!

Two number one seeds are gone, two number eleven seeds are in, and the first four seeds in the South bracket are gone.  Just another weekend of March Madness living up to its name.

So three of your Final Four selections are gone?  Not a problem!  You’re in good company.  There isn’t a single entry among the 106 participants that hasn’t lost at least one Final Four choice and most have lost two.  Yet they’re all still alive…..well, except for those entries that are accompanied by those pesky asterisks.  Sadly, if there is a little star in front of your entry name, your pick is no longer among those in the running…..for anything.  Don’t feel too bad, as reportedly every one of the 17.3 million brackets submitted in ESPN’s perfection contest is out of the running after only two rounds.

If you are among the lucky 79 still in the running, the Status Reports now list your highest possible finish.  And it may be higher than you think – and we’re talking about you, Conjilmom.  Though three of your Final Four choices have been bounced and five of your Elite Eight choices are gone, you still have a chance of finishing as high as second.  Let that sink in.

As we enter the Sweet Sixteen, Soupy still leads the way with a five point lead as sorted by Current Points.  But KirkWho has the lead in Possible Points, having lost only two Elite Eight teams among the many upsets.

At the other end of things, Beau Blakely holds the current lead in the race for the Brandy Award, but special recognition goes to Big East Final with only four correct picks among the sixteen second round games.  Impressive!

If you had not submitted your fees by the end of Sunday’s games you should have received our friendly reminder to pay.  To those who promptly paid up subsequently, thank you very much.  Hopefully we’ll have all debts settled before the Sweet Sixteen begins this Thursday.